Probation Point Weather Forecast

    • 11
    • 23

    Shower or two

    • 12
    • 22

    Shower or two

    • 8
    • 16

    Shower or two

    • 8
    • 15

    Showers

    • 9
    • 16

    Shower or two

    • 7
    • 17

    Partly cloudy

    • 7
    • 20

    Shower or two

Today 30 Sep Swansea

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

Lower East Coastal Waters

Wineglass Bay to Tasman Island
Wind
Northerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southwesterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Weather Situation
Northerly flow builds over Tasmania today ahead of an approaching trough, forecast to cross Wednesday morning. A broad trough is forecast to cross the state during the day Thursday and then a cold front in the evening. A ridge of high pressure is then expected to approach Tasmania from the west during Friday, concurrently with a trough deepening over Victoria. The trough is forecast to move to the east of Tasmania on Saturday.
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September Temperature

Friendly Beaches (33km)

  • Lowest 8 September, 2026

    3.3 °C

  • Average September

    12.7 °C

  • Highest 20 September, 2026

    27.9 °C

Climate (2021–2026)

Friendly Beaches (33km)

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  • Average Low 2021–2026

    9.6 °C

  • Average 2021–2026

    13.6 °C

  • Average High 2021–2026

    18.9 °C
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