Probation Point Weather Forecast

    • 15
    • 28

    Shower or two

    • 12
    • 29

    Mostly sunny

    • 12
    • 29

    Late shower or two

    • 14
    • 23

    Showers

    • 10
    • 17

    Showers

    • 6
    • 17

    Shower or two

    • 5
    • 18

    Partly cloudy

Today 21 Oct Swansea

Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Lower East Coastal Waters

Wineglass Bay to Tasman Island
Wind
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southwesterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm inshore in the afternoon.
Weather Situation
A blocking high over the Tasman Sea directs a warm northwesterly flow over Tasmania this week. A weak trough lingers over the state today. A decaying cold front is expected to move over Tasmania on Friday, with a stronger cold front forecast to quickly follow on Saturday.
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  • Temperature Forecast Bureau of Meteorology

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Probation Point Temperature Statistics View More

October Temperature

Friendly Beaches (33 km)

  • Lowest 8 October, 2026

    3.4 °C

  • Average October

    13.9 °C

  • Highest 1 October, 2026

    24.9 °C

Climate (2021–2026)

Friendly Beaches (33 km)

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  • Average Low 2021–2026

    9.6 °C

  • Average 2021–2026

    13.6 °C

  • Average High 2021–2026

    18.9 °C
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