Probation Point Weather Forecast

    • 4
    • 14

    Shower or two

    • 4
    • 15

    Shower or two

    • 3
    • 15

    Mostly sunny

    • 2
    • 16

    Partly cloudy

    • 6
    • 16

    Showers

    • 7
    • 15

    Shower or two

    • 5
    • 16

    Shower or two

Today 5 Aug Swansea

Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late morning. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon.

Lower East Coastal Waters

Wineglass Bay to Tasman Island
Wind
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres near Tasman Island.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Weather Situation
A broad area of low pressure over the east of Tasmania is slowly moving into the Tasman Sea. A ridge of high pressure will develop over Tasmania from today, ahead of a weak cold front expected to cross the state on Thursday. The ridge of high pressure will redevelop over Tasmania on Friday before the airstream tends northwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front on Saturday.
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August Temperature

Friendly Beaches (33km)

  • Lowest 1 August, 2026

    4 °C

  • Average August

    9.9 °C

  • Highest 2 August, 2026

    17.4 °C

Climate (2021–2026)

Friendly Beaches (33km)

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  • Average Low 2021–2026

    9.5 °C

  • Average 2021–2026

    13.5 °C

  • Average High 2021–2026

    18.8 °C
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