Probation Point Weather Forecast

    • 9
    • 15

    Showers

    • 3
    • 11

    Shower or two

    • 3
    • 13

    Possible shower

    • 8
    • 14

    Shower or two

    • 4
    • 15

    Mostly sunny

    • 6
    • 15

    Shower or two

    • 6
    • 13

    Shower or two

Today 22 Jul Swansea

Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending westerly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.

Lower East Coastal Waters

Wineglass Bay to Tasman Island
Wind
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southwesterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this afternoon. Possible small hail late this afternoon and evening.
Weather Situation
A high pressure centre over the Tasman Sea is directing a northwesterly flow over Tasmania. A strong cold front is forecast to move over the state from the west late Wednesday and another cold front follows on Thursday, bringing strong west to southwesterly flow across the state, persisting into Friday and easing during Saturday.
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Probation Point Temperature Statistics View More

July Temperature

Friendly Beaches (33km)

  • Lowest 17 July, 2026

    2.2 °C

  • Average July

    10 °C

  • Highest 16 July, 2026

    17 °C

Climate (2021–2026)

Friendly Beaches (33km)

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  • Average Low 2021–2026

    9.5 °C

  • Average 2021–2026

    13.5 °C

  • Average High 2021–2026

    18.8 °C
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