Probation Point Weather Forecast

    • 14
    • 23

    Showers increasing

    • 13
    • 22

    Showers

    • 13
    • 25

    Shower or two

    • 13
    • 20

    Shower or two

    • 8
    • 17

    Possible shower

    • 10
    • 19

    Cloudy

    • 10
    • 21

    Partly cloudy

Today 23 Mar Swansea

Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending southerly in the evening.

Lower East Coastal Waters

Wineglass Bay to Tasman Island
Wind
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southwesterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Weather Situation
A cold front approaches the west of Tasmania, crossing the state from the west this morning before becoming a slow-moving trough over the state into Tuesday. Another cold front is expected to approach the west during Wednesday, crossing the state early Thursday, bringing with it a fresh southerly flow during Thursday as a high pressure system lies well to the west of Tasmania.
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  • Temperature Forecast Bureau of Meteorology

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Probation Point Temperature Statistics View More

March Temperature

Friendly Beaches (33km)

  • Lowest 14 March, 2026

    7.3 °C

  • Average March

    17 °C

  • Highest 5 March, 2026

    27 °C

Climate (2021–Present)

Friendly Beaches (33km)

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  • Average Low 2021–2026

    9.5 °C

  • Average 2021–2026

    13.4 °C

  • Average High 2021–2026

    18.7 °C
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